AC Virtus vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
TFI
2 - 5
VIR
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
VIR
3 - 1
MUR
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
JUV
0 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
52%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
VIR
3 - 1
SGI
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
FOL
1 - 1
SGI
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
FOL
2 - 2
CAI
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
MUR
0 - 2
FOL
41%
25%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
PEN
2 - 6
FOL
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
FOL
0 - 0
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |