AC Virtus vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
LIB
0 - 2
VIR
12%
21%
67%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VIR
2 - 0
CAI
80%
15%
5%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
VIR
2 - 0
SMA
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FOL
0 - 2
VIR
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FIO
4 - 1
SMA
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FIO
3 - 0
DOM
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FIO
2 - 1
SGI
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
COS
0 - 3
FIO
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |