AC Virtus vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TPE
1 - 0
VIR
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
4 - 1
TFI
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 2
TFI
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 5
VIR
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FAE
3 - 1
COS
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
FAE
4 - 1
SGI
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 3
FAE
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 1
JUV
23%
24%
52%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
4 - 1
FAE
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |