AC Virtus vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
TFI
1 - 1
VIR
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
CAI
1 - 1
VIR
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
VIR
1 - 2
MUR
60%
21%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
FAE
1 - 1
COS
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
FIO
1 - 2
FAE
21%
24%
54%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 1
FAE
15%
22%
63%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
FAE
2 - 1
LIB
36%
26%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
SGI
0 - 1
FAE
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |