AC Virtus vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
DOM
1 - 1
VIR
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
2 - 2
SGI
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIR
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
VIR
2 - 1
FOL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
TFI
2 - 5
VIR
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FAE
0 - 4
FOL
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CAI
4 - 1
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
FAE
1 - 0
CAI
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 4
FAE
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2001 |
TPE
2 - 1
FAE
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |