AC Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 0
FIO
22%
26%
53%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 3
VIR
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
VIR
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIB
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 2
VIR
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
COS
1 - 0
PEN
18%
24%
58%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
VIR
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
76%
17%
8%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
COS
4 - 0
FAE
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |