AC Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
SGI
0 - 3
VIR
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
VIR
2 - 2
FIO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
VIR
0 - 1
TPE
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
VIR
4 - 1
COS
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
CAI
1 - 2
VIR
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
COS
1 - 4
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
COS
0 - 6
FAE
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 0
COS
79%
14%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
COS
1 - 6
TFI
21%
24%
54%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
COS
2 - 3
FIO
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |