AC Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
DOM
1 - 1
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 0
LIB
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 1
JUV
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
VIR
3 - 1
SGI
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
FOL
3 - 5
VIR
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
COS
2 - 2
TFI
71%
17%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
COS
1 - 3
SGI
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
COS
0 - 6
LIB
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |