AC Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
JUV
0 - 4
VIR
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
VIR
2 - 1
FOL
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CAI
0 - 3
VIR
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
FIO
1 - 4
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
TPE
2 - 5
VIR
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
COS
4 - 2
FOL
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
COS
4 - 0
TPE
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
COS
4 - 0
FIO
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
PEN
0 - 4
COS
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
COS
0 - 0
CAI
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |