AC Virtus vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 3
VIR
17%
22%
60%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 2
FAE
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
DOM
1 - 1
VIR
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
2 - 2
SGI
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIR
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
CAI
3 - 1
FOL
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SGI
1 - 4
CAI
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 3
CAI
23%
25%
53%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CAI
4 - 1
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
FAE
1 - 0
CAI
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |