Virtus Verona vs Vigasio analysis


35	ELO	23
-20.7%	Tilt	6.1%
2598º	General ELO ranking	6576º
83º	Country ELO ranking	247º
ELO win probability

64.6%

Virtus Verona

19.6%

Draw

15.8%

Vigasio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

64.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%

19.6%

Draw

0-0

4.4%

1-1

9.2%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

19.6%

15.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+5%

+83%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Virtus Verona

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
04 Sep. 2016	MES 2 - 1 VIR 45% 22% 33%	35	33	2
28 Aug. 2016	PSM 3 - 1 VIR 36% 23% 41%	35	34	1
23 Jul. 2016	CHI 6 - 0 VIR 81% 16% 4%	35	81	46
15 May. 2016	CAM 2 - 2 VIR 53% 22% 26%	35	41	6
08 May. 2016	SAC 0 - 6 VIR 10% 19% 71%	35	17	18

Matches

Vigasio

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
04 Sep. 2016	VIG 1 - 2 CAM 17% 20% 64%	24	43	19	0
21 Aug. 2016	VIG 0 - 0 DAR 24% 22% 54%	23	36	13	+1