Virtus Pavullese vs Cerea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 1
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ACE
2 - 1
VIR
69%
18%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
SCA
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RAV
2 - 2
VIR
76%
17%
7%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAV
2 - 3
CER
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
LAN
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
PEL
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 0
CER
64%
22%
14%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
VIL
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |