Virtus Pavullese vs FC Carpenedolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 0
VIR
59%
23%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
VIR
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 0
USR
61%
22%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 0
VIR
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Carpenedolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
USR
0 - 2
FSD
37%
27%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FSD
0 - 0
BAG
39%
25%
37%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FSD
0 - 0
FOR
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CSP
3 - 0
FSD
38%
27%
35%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FSD
1 - 0
PER
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |