Virtus Francavilla vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
LEC
10%
16%
74%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
FRA
77%
17%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
FRA
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 0
FRA
64%
23%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
MES
2 - 0
USV
62%
23%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
USV
0 - 0
SIR
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
USV
2 - 2
LEC
10%
20%
71%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JUS
3 - 0
USV
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
USV
0 - 1
CAS
17%
25%
59%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |