Virtus Francavilla vs Turris Neapolis analysis

Virtus Francavilla Turris Neapolis
49 ELO 51
4.4% Tilt -13.4%
3863º General ELO ranking 4336º
124º Country ELO ranking 146º
ELO win probability
40.8%
Virtus Francavilla
24.3%
Draw
34.9%
Turris Neapolis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
Virtus Francavilla
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.9%
Win probability
Turris Neapolis
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Virtus Francavilla
-27%
-36%
Turris Neapolis

Points and table prediction

Virtus Francavilla
Their league position
Turris Neapolis
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
19º
19º
44
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juve Stabia
79
79
100%
Avellino
69
69
100%
Taranto
69
69
100%
Benevento
66
66
100%
Casertana
65
65
100%
Picerno
58
58
100%
Audace Cerignola
53
53
0%
SSC Giugliano
53
53
0%
Crotone
52
52
100%
Latina
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Calcio Foggia
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Sorrento
12º
48
48
12º
0%
Catania
13º
45
45
13º
100%
ACR Messina
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Potenza Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Monopoli
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
19º
35
35
18º
100%
Virtus Francavilla
18º
35
35
19º
100%
Brindisi
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Virtus Francavilla
Turris Neapolis
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Virtus Francavilla
Turris Neapolis
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2024
SSC
SSC Giugliano
2 - 1
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
63%
22%
16%
49 54 5 0
03 Feb. 2024
MES
ACR Messina
3 - 2
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
49%
27%
24%
50 53 3 -1
26 Jan. 2024
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
1 - 0
Calcio Foggia
USF
27%
24%
49%
49 57 8 +1
20 Jan. 2024
CRO
Crotone
1 - 1
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
81%
14%
5%
49 68 19 0
13 Jan. 2024
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
1 - 2
Benevento
BEN
15%
26%
59%
49 70 21 0

Matches

Turris Neapolis
Turris Neapolis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2024
TUR
Turris Neapolis
2 - 0
Calcio Foggia
USF
31%
25%
45%
49 56 7 0
02 Feb. 2024
PIC
Picerno
1 - 0
Turris Neapolis
TUR
62%
22%
16%
50 62 12 -1
27 Jan. 2024
TUR
Turris Neapolis
2 - 2
ACR Messina
MES
43%
26%
31%
50 53 3 0
21 Jan. 2024
SOR
Sorrento
2 - 1
Turris Neapolis
TUR
46%
26%
28%
51 55 4 -1
13 Jan. 2024
TUR
Turris Neapolis
0 - 4
Crotone
CRO
14%
21%
65%
51 67 16 0