Virtus Francavilla vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 0
FRA
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
SSE
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
APR
1 - 2
FRA
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ACI
1 - 2
FRA
27%
25%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 1
TUR
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
BIS
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FON
3 - 2
TAR
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSM
63%
23%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 2
FRA
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
POM
2 - 2
TAR
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |