Virtus Francavilla vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 0
FRA
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TER
0 - 1
FRA
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 1
USF
22%
25%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 0
FRA
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 1
TER
15%
24%
61%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
CAV
0 - 2
RPO
23%
26%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAV
0 - 2
CAT
18%
26%
57%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CAV
0 - 1
FCC
17%
27%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAV
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
USF
1 - 0
CAV
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |