Virtus Francavilla vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
FRA
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FRA
3 - 4
RPO
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SIC
1 - 1
FRA
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
REN
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 1
FRA
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 2
BIS
63%
23%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 0
MON
23%
27%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 1
CAV
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 2
FCC
23%
28%
49%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAV
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |