Virtus Francavilla vs Sicula Leonzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
FRA
46%
28%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
REN
0 - 1
FRA
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 3
CAT
37%
28%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
FON
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 2
SIC
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BIS
1 - 1
SIC
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SIC
0 - 3
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TRA
0 - 0
SIC
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SIC
2 - 1
MAT
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |