Virtus Francavilla vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 0
FRA
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FER
2 - 0
FRA
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
JUS
4 - 3
FRA
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
FRA
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FIA
1 - 1
FRA
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RIE
2 - 1
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
RIE
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FER
0 - 2
RIE
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 2
TER
54%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 2
USV
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |