Virtus Francavilla vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 1
FRA
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BIS
0 - 1
FRA
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 2
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PIC
0 - 0
FRA
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FRA
6 - 2
USV
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
REN
1 - 2
MON
17%
26%
57%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FCC
1 - 1
REN
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
REN
2 - 0
SIC
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
6 - 1
REN
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
REN
0 - 1
CAV
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |