Virtus Francavilla vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
REG
0 - 1
FRA
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
FRA
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 2
CAS
27%
28%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SIC
1 - 0
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
RIE
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
REN
3 - 0
BIS
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
SIR
1 - 2
REN
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
REN
0 - 2
RPO
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 1
REN
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
JUS
2 - 1
REN
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |