Virtus Francavilla vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FON
2 - 2
FRA
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 0
BIS
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
LEC
4 - 0
FRA
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
FIA
45%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
LEC
17%
25%
58%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 1
REN
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
REN
2 - 0
AKR
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
REG
0 - 3
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
REN
0 - 3
CAT
26%
29%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |