Virtus Francavilla vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
26.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
USC
4 - 0
FRA
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
RPO
3 - 1
FRA
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAS
45%
27%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
JUS
1 - 2
FRA
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
EMP
2 - 1
REG
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
REG
3 - 2
VIC
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
CAT
4 - 1
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
REG
1 - 1
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
REG
3 - 0
MAT
83%
13%
4%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | +1 |