Virtus Francavilla vs Paganese analysis

Virtus Francavilla Paganese
52 ELO 47
-9.2% Tilt -7.6%
3863º General ELO ranking 5022º
124º Country ELO ranking 174º
ELO win probability
54.2%
Virtus Francavilla
23.7%
Draw
22.2%
Paganese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
Virtus Francavilla
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.2%
Win probability
Paganese
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Virtus Francavilla
-41%
-29%
Paganese

ELO progression

Virtus Francavilla
Paganese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2020
REG
Reggina
1 - 2
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
64%
22%
15%
50 59 9 0
19 Jan. 2020
CAS
Casertana
1 - 1
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
48%
25%
27%
50 51 1 0
12 Jan. 2020
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
0 - 0
Catania
CAT
36%
27%
38%
50 53 3 0
15 Dec. 2019
VIT
Viterbese
2 - 1
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
35%
26%
40%
51 46 5 -1
08 Dec. 2019
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
1 - 0
Cavese 1919
CAV
50%
23%
27%
51 47 4 0

Matches

Paganese
Paganese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2020
PAG
Paganese
0 - 0
Viterbese
VIT
46%
25%
29%
47 49 2 0
19 Jan. 2020
PAG
Paganese
0 - 0
Sicula Leonzio
SIC
72%
18%
11%
48 40 8 -1
12 Jan. 2020
MON
Monopoli
0 - 1
Paganese
PAG
60%
23%
18%
47 56 9 +1
15 Dec. 2019
RPO
Potenza Calcio
1 - 0
Paganese
PAG
59%
23%
18%
47 56 9 0
11 Dec. 2019
PAG
Paganese
3 - 1
Catania
CAT
25%
23%
52%
46 53 7 +1