Virtus Francavilla vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
REG
1 - 2
FRA
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 0
CAT
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
FRA
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAV
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 0
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 0
SIC
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
PAG
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
RPO
1 - 0
PAG
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
PAG
3 - 1
CAT
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |