Virtus Francavilla vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SIC
2 - 2
FRA
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 1
CAS
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
REG
0 - 0
FRA
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
REN
44%
28%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 1
FIA
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TRA
4 - 1
PAG
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 1
PAG
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 0
MAT
27%
26%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JUS
1 - 1
PAG
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |