Lega Pro Relegation Playoffs Final
Global 2-2
Virtus Francavilla vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RPO
0 - 0
FRA
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
JUS
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAT
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
FRA
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
MES
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
3 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
TAR
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SSC
0 - 1
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
SOR
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |