Virtus Francavilla vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
FRA
2 - 1
FCC
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 0
JUS
27%
26%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
USF
1 - 0
FRA
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 0
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 2
FRA
30%
27%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MES
2 - 1
PAG
38%
27%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
TUR
5 - 0
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TAR
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MES
2 - 3
FIA
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 0
MES
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |