Virtus Francavilla vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
49.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AKR
2 - 1
FRA
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 1
USF
12%
20%
69%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FRA
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
FCC
40%
26%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
5 - 1
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
CAT
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
USV
0 - 1
MAT
17%
26%
57%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 2
NUO
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 1
MAT
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |