Virtus Francavilla vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
FRA
77%
17%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
FRA
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 0
FRA
64%
23%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 4
MAT
24%
27%
50%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
FRA
77%
17%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
USV
2 - 2
LEC
10%
20%
71%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
REG
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIR
0 - 2
LEC
18%
24%
59%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |