Virtus Francavilla vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
NUO
4 - 1
FRA
44%
28%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
MON
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
FRA
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
FRA
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 0
AKR
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FIA
3 - 1
REN
40%
29%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
FIA
59%
24%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FIA
0 - 1
TRA
11%
21%
68%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 5
FIA
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FIA
0 - 0
BIS
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |