Virtus Francavilla vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
45%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 0
JUS
27%
26%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
USF
1 - 0
FRA
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 0
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 2
FRA
30%
27%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 2
TUR
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 1
USV
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 1
FCC
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 2
FCC
19%
27%
54%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 0
USF
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
FCC
23%
28%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |