Virtus Francavilla vs Casertana analysis

Virtus Francavilla Casertana
51 ELO 53
6.6% Tilt -16.4%
3863º General ELO ranking 2528º
124º Country ELO ranking 78º
ELO win probability
46.6%
Virtus Francavilla
24.9%
Draw
28.5%
Casertana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
Virtus Francavilla
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.5%
Win probability
Casertana
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Virtus Francavilla
Their league position
Casertana
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
19º
19º
65
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juve Stabia
79
79
100%
Avellino
69
69
100%
Taranto
69
69
100%
Benevento
66
66
100%
Casertana
65
65
100%
Picerno
58
58
100%
Audace Cerignola
53
53
0%
SSC Giugliano
53
53
0%
Crotone
52
52
100%
Latina
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Calcio Foggia
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Sorrento
12º
48
48
12º
0%
Catania
13º
45
45
13º
100%
ACR Messina
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Potenza Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Monopoli
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
19º
35
35
18º
100%
Virtus Francavilla
18º
35
35
19º
100%
Brindisi
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Virtus Francavilla
Casertana
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Virtus Francavilla
Casertana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
AVE
Avellino
1 - 1
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
62%
23%
15%
51 60 9 0
29 Oct. 2023
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
1 - 2
Taranto
TAR
38%
27%
35%
52 57 5 -1
25 Oct. 2023
LAT
Latina
1 - 0
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
52%
26%
22%
52 55 3 0
20 Oct. 2023
MON
Monopoli
3 - 0
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
44%
27%
29%
54 52 2 -2
15 Oct. 2023
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
1 - 5
Sorrento
SOR
63%
22%
15%
55 49 6 -1

Matches

Casertana
Casertana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2023
CAS
Casertana
1 - 0
Turris Neapolis
TUR
41%
25%
33%
51 53 2 0
29 Oct. 2023
AUD
Audace Cerignola
2 - 4
Casertana
CAS
73%
17%
10%
50 62 12 +1
25 Oct. 2023
CAS
Casertana
2 - 1
Juve Stabia
JUS
28%
26%
46%
49 58 9 +1
22 Oct. 2023
BRI
Brindisi
1 - 4
Casertana
CAS
56%
25%
19%
47 54 7 +2
16 Oct. 2023
CAS
Casertana
0 - 2
Avellino
AVE
26%
26%
48%
47 57 10 0