Virtus Francavilla vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
USV
2 - 0
FRA
14%
25%
61%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
LEC
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
FRA
50%
27%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
NUO
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 3
FRA
67%
21%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 0
FCC
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 2
ASM
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 4
PAG
34%
27%
40%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SIR
3 - 1
ASM
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 2
FIA
27%
27%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |