Virtus Francavilla vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
FRA
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
CAS
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
FRA
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
REG
46%
28%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
USC
4 - 0
FRA
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
REG
65%
21%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 2
BAR
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 3
VIT
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SIC
0 - 2
BAR
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 0
BAR
25%
23%
51%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |