Virtus Francavilla vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
FRA
3 - 1
CPT
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IRS
1 - 1
FRA
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 0
VIR
39%
26%
36%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
FRA
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 0
BAT
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
APR
4 - 0
SOR
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BUD
2 - 0
APR
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
APR
4 - 0
SEL
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 0
APR
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
APR
2 - 3
VIT
21%
23%
55%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |