Virtus Francavilla vs FC Sporting Genzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NOC
2 - 1
FRA
50%
25%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ASP
4 - 1
FRA
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FRA
1 - 0
USV
78%
15%
8%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
BRI
3 - 0
FRA
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FRA
2 - 1
BAC
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sporting Genzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FSG
1 - 0
BAC
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
FSG
0 - 2
MAT
16%
22%
62%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ISC
2 - 0
FSG
74%
17%
10%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
FSG
0 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
POM
0 - 1
FSG
76%
15%
8%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |