Virtus Entella vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ACD
2 - 0
SAS
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
PRG
2 - 1
ACD
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
ACD
17%
25%
58%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ACD
2 - 1
ASG
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ACD
3 - 1
OLB
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
USA
0 - 3
TRI
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
USA
2 - 0
ATA
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
USA
52%
27%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
PER
29%
28%
44%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ABN
0 - 0
USA
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |