Virtus Entella vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PIS
1 - 1
ACD
30%
30%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 2
ACD
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 1
FRO
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
CTT
2 - 1
ACD
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
ACD
4 - 1
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VIC
1 - 1
SPA
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 0
BEN
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
SPA
53%
25%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 0
TER
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |