Virtus Entella vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 2
ACD
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
ACD
0 - 0
PIS
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 0
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 0
ACD
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
ACD
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PRG
1 - 1
TER
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 1
PRG
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 1
BAR
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
PRG
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
PRG
2 - 1
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |