Virtus Entella vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 0
ACD
14%
27%
59%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 2
OLB
80%
15%
5%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 1
USA
66%
22%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
PON
1 - 2
ACD
20%
28%
52%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
ACD
1 - 0
ARZ
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
PON
0 - 0
NOV
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
GOZ
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
ARZ
0 - 2
NOV
17%
25%
59%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CUN
0 - 0
NOV
16%
25%
59%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |