Serie B relegation play-off Final
Global 3-3
Virtus Entella vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
CRO
0 - 0
ACD
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 0
LAT
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
LIV
2 - 1
ACD
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
ACD
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 1
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 1
MOD
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
57%
26%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 0
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
CAR
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 1
MOD
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |