Virtus Entella vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
ACD
0 - 0
CES
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ACD
0 - 0
REG
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
ACD
1 - 0
MON
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 1
ACD
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
3 - 2
ANC
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 1
ASL
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 2
USA
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 0
OLB
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ANC
2 - 1
ASL
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |