Virtus Entella vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+249%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
DER
1 - 1
ACD
15%
24%
62%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CUN
1 - 1
ACD
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ACD
4 - 1
SCC
81%
14%
6%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ACD
1 - 2
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
SET
1 - 3
ACD
18%
25%
57%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LAV
2 - 2
BIE
20%
25%
56%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
VAO
0 - 1
LAV
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LAV
1 - 1
SET
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ACR
1 - 2
LAV
40%
26%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SES
1 - 1
LAV
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |