Virtus Entella vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
REG
1 - 0
ACD
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 1
VIT
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CES
1 - 0
ACD
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ACD
3 - 1
PIS
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 0
ACD
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 3
OLB
32%
28%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
REG
14%
25%
61%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
IMO
1 - 1
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FER
2 - 2
CES
18%
26%
57%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PIS
2 - 1
FER
42%
29%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |