Virtus Entella vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 0
ACD
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ACD
1 - 1
SET
78%
16%
7%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SCC
0 - 4
ACD
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ACD
0 - 0
BAA
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ACQ
2 - 2
ACD
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DER
1 - 1
VIG
62%
22%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SET
0 - 2
DER
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 2
DER
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
DER
0 - 0
ALB
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
DER
0 - 0
SAV
18%
23%
59%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +1 |