Virtus Entella vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SCC
2 - 2
ACD
11%
20%
69%
|
55 | 12 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ACD
0 - 1
CUN
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACD
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
ACD
1 - 2
BIE
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VAO
1 - 1
ACD
13%
22%
65%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
DER
0 - 0
BIE
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
VAO
1 - 2
DER
59%
21%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
DER
3 - 0
SET
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SES
2 - 0
DER
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
DER
2 - 0
FCL
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |