Virtus Entella vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PRG
0 - 0
ACD
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ACD
0 - 3
SPA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PIS
1 - 1
ACD
30%
30%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 2
ACD
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 1
FRO
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
BRE
59%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FRO
1 - 0
CAR
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
CES
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 0
CAR
30%
31%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
VIC
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |