Virtus Entella vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2014 |
PRG
3 - 1
ACD
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 1
PRG
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
USC
1 - 2
ACD
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ACD
0 - 1
LEO
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAV
2 - 2
ACD
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
COR
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
BEN
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
LEC
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACP
3 - 3
BEN
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 2
FCV
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |