Virtus Entella vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
28%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ACD
1 - 2
USF
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
PRG
2 - 0
ACD
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
FRO
4 - 3
ACD
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ACD
0 - 2
SAL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
SPE
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 0
PAL
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
SPE
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 0
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 2
SPE
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |